Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.354088 0.460948 0.577313 0.711651 0.860851 1.020067 1.201484
2025-09-14 0.194806 0.330348 0.495794 0.703424 0.949528 1.225861 1.554135
2025-09-21 0.113270 0.250713 0.436602 0.685235 0.993274 1.350305 1.784897
2025-09-28 0.078107 0.220997 0.431360 0.726011 1.101995 1.546581 2.095777
2025-10-05 0.056779 0.204025 0.437589 0.776868 1.219401 1.750218 2.412695
2025-10-12 0.038677 0.185010 0.436469 0.814882 1.318542 1.930455 2.701032
2025-10-19 0.029421 0.179464 0.453489 0.876126 1.446293 2.144800 3.029500
2025-10-26 0.020159 0.168812 0.460167 0.921517 1.552652 2.332400 3.325696
2025-11-02 0.009783 0.146030 0.443179 0.930873 1.610307 2.458811 3.547547
2025-11-09 0.001066 0.106041 0.388528 0.880371 1.585172 2.479660 3.639660
2025-11-16 NaN 0.070863 0.332574 0.821684 1.544681 2.478039 3.701789
2025-11-23 NaN 0.052103 0.303981 0.802041 1.555274 2.539478 3.839740
2025-11-30 NaN 0.041424 0.292112 0.810678 1.608480 2.660155 4.057175
2025-12-07 NaN 0.029289 0.271510 0.803017 1.638137 2.750698 4.238176
2025-12-14 NaN 0.017997 0.245759 0.783195 1.648142 2.813978 4.383680
2025-12-21 NaN 0.017026 0.255430 0.826989 1.751454 3.000482 4.684582
2025-12-28 NaN 0.017476 0.270802 0.881372 1.870565 3.208095 5.012363
2026-01-04 NaN 0.016235 0.278766 0.921975 1.969287 3.388771 5.306289
2026-01-11 NaN 0.017996 0.299881 0.987259 2.104890 3.618655 5.662715
2026-01-18 NaN 0.017704 0.311898 1.035561 2.215299 3.815177 5.977110
2026-01-25 NaN 0.013325 0.303740 1.045508 2.268298 3.935215 6.194661
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005024 0.263834 0.991780 2.224004 3.924211 6.245055
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000573 0.222285 0.929231 2.163180 3.888884 6.262770